XiXiDu comments on Should I believe what the SIAI claims? - Less Wrong
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I am looking for the evidence in "supported by evidence". I am further trying to figure how you anticipate your beliefs to pay rent, what you anticipate to see if explosive recursive self-improvement is possible, and how that belief could be surprised by data.
If you just say, "I predict we will likely be wiped out by badly done AI.", how do you expect to update on evidence? What would constitute such evidence?