gRR comments on What a reduction of "could" could look like - Less Wrong
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Comments (103)
See the posts linked to from UDT, ADT, TDT, section "Decision theory" in this post.
It can, it's just a consideration it can't use in figuring out how the outcome depends on its decision. While looking for what is influenced by a decision, the decision itself should remain unknown (given that the decision is determined by what this dependence turns out to be, it's not exactly self-handicapping).
It seems the mixing up of A=1 and A=2 didn't spare this argument, but it's easy enough to fix. From A=2 we have NOT(A=1), so [A=1 => W=1,000,000,000] and together with [A=2 => W=1,000,000] by (Ax3) we have A=1, contradiction.
Yes, I see now, thanks.
If I attempted to fix this, I would try to change (Ax3) to something like:
forall a1,a2,w1,w2 ((A=a1 => W=w1) AND (A=a2 => W=w2) AND (w1>w2)) => NOT (FinalA=a2)
where FinalA is the actual decision. But then, why should the world's axiom (Ax2) be defined in terms of A and not FinalA? This seems conceptually wrong...
Ok, I'll go read up on the posts :)