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Perplexed comments on An introduction to decision theory - Less Wrong
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Thx for the Shalizi link. I'm currently slogging my way through Pearl, and Shalizi clarifies things.
At first I thought that AdamBell had invented Evidential Decision Theory from whole cloth, but I discover by Googling that it really exists. Presumably it makes sense for different problems - it certainly did not for the baby-kissing story as presented.
As far as I know, there's still no non-trivial formalization of the baby-kissing problem (aka Smoking Lesion). I'd be happy to be proved wrong on that.