nhamann comments on Existential Risk and Public Relations - Less Wrong

36 Post author: multifoliaterose 15 August 2010 07:16AM

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Comment author: nhamann 15 August 2010 05:33:46PM 6 points [-]

I expect AI progress to come incrementally, BTW - I don't expect the Foomination. And I expect it to come from Google or someone similar; a large group of really smart, really hard-working people.

I'd like to point out that it's not either/or: it's possible (likely?) that it will take decades of hard work and incremental progress by lots of really smart people to advance AI science to a point where an AI could FOOM.

Comment author: CarlShulman 15 August 2010 06:05:22PM 3 points [-]

I would say likely, conditional on eventual FOOM. The alternative means both a concentration of probability mass in the next ten years and that the relevant theory and tools are almost wholly complete.

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