multifoliaterose comments on The Importance of Self-Doubt - Less Wrong

23 Post author: multifoliaterose 19 August 2010 10:47PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (726)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: multifoliaterose 14 December 2010 08:42:30PM 2 points [-]

Thanks for the very interesting reference! Is it linked on the SIAI research papers page? I didn't see it there.

Note that there's a big difference between the probability of risk conditional on WBE coming first or AI coming first and marginal impact of effort.

I appreciate this point which you've made to me previously (and which appears in your comment that I linked above!).