Tyrrell_McAllister comments on Justifying Induction - Less Wrong

1 Post author: Unknowns 22 August 2010 11:13AM

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Comment author: Tyrrell_McAllister 22 August 2010 05:55:44PM 0 points [-]

Still wrong. As I pointed out in the main post, "The sun will rise tomorrow" has a probability of 1.0 given that "The sun will rise for the next 10,000 days." This means that the sun rising tomorrow is evidence that the sun will rise for the next 10,000 days, without presupposing induction.

Right. Induction only comes in when I infer, from the sun's rising tomorrow, that it will rise on the 9,999 days after tomorrow.