JGWeissman comments on Cryonics Questions - Less Wrong

9 Post author: James_Miller 26 August 2010 11:19PM

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Comment author: mattnewport 27 August 2010 01:18:42AM *  3 points [-]

I'd dispute the claimed equivalence between several of these questions and cryonics (particularly the first) and I'd also take issue with some of the premises but I'd answer yes to all of them with caveats and I'm not signed up for cryonics nor do I intend to in the near future.

The reason I have no immediate plans to sign up is that I think there are relatively few scenarios where signing up now is a better choice than deferring a decision until later. I am currently healthy but if diagnosed with a terminal illness I could sign up then if it seemed like the best use of resources at the time. I estimate my chances of sudden death as relatively low and many sudden death scenarios would likely greatly lower my chances of successful cryonic revival (due to causing severe damage to my brain) so cryonics doesn't seem a great investment currently.

Based on my age and health and the statistics I've seen I'd estimate a less than 1 in 1000 probability of dying in the next 10 years without sufficient warning to make arrangements for cryonics at the time but in a way that left my brain in a state where I'd have a non-negligible chance at future revival.

Comment author: JGWeissman 27 August 2010 01:47:52AM 9 points [-]

I am currently healthy but if diagnosed with a terminal illness I could sign up then if it seemed like the best use of resources at the time.

Life insurance is a lot easier to get when you are healthy and not diagnosed with a terminal illness.

Comment author: mattnewport 27 August 2010 04:29:50AM *  7 points [-]

Life insurance has negative expected monetary value. Since I could afford to pay for cryonics from retirement savings if I was diagnosed with a terminal illness I don't think it makes financial sense to fund it with life insurance. Funding with life insurance might have positive expected utility for someone who doesn't expect to have the funds to pay for cryonics in the near future but there's an opportunity cost associated with the expected financial loss of buying life insurance in the event that it is not needed.