taw comments on Cryonics Questions - Less Wrong

9 Post author: James_Miller 26 August 2010 11:19PM

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Comment author: taw 27 August 2010 03:13:28PM 0 points [-]
  1. What is "non-trivial but far from certain"? If operation's chances were as low as my estimation of cryonics I wouldn't bother so "no". With high enough chance "yes".

  2. Maybe. I don't really trust my ability to place myself in such hypothetical scenarios and I expect my answer to result more from framing effects than anything else.

  3. Sort of.

  4. Definitely not.

  5. Framing effects etc. I don't think I can reason about this clearly enough.

  6. Definitely yes.

So there's one yes. It shouldn't surprise you that I consider cryonics waste of money with negligible chance of success, but I'm a huge fan of SENS, which has realistic chance of significantly reducing worst effects of aging at least.

And back to your arguments:

  • 1 - costs/logistics are only relative to chances of success, so this point fails hard.
  • 2 - waking up in the future is still worse than waking up now, so it works as partial objection even if you prefer it to never waking up.
  • 3 - magnitude of change matters, and future "you" can easily be far outside what you'd still consider "you", so your argument fails
  • 4, 5 - I'll leave it up to people who believe this, I consider the entire line of thought delusional