PhilGoetz comments on Cryonics Questions - Less Wrong

9 Post author: James_Miller 26 August 2010 11:19PM

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Comment author: PhilGoetz 27 August 2010 05:51:12PM 2 points [-]

But maybe discount rate is just a way of estimating all of the risks associated with time passing. Is there any discounting left if you remove all risk analysis from discounting?

Time discounting is something that evolution taught us to do; so we don't know for certain why we do it.

Comment author: wnoise 27 August 2010 07:00:56PM 3 points [-]

Certainly time discounting is something that evolution taught us to do. However, it is adjusting for more than risks. $100 now is worth strictly more than $100 later, because now I can do a strict superset of what I can do with it later (namely, spend it on anything between now and then), as well as hold on to it and turn it into $100 later.

Comment author: Alicorn 27 August 2010 07:04:29PM 1 point [-]

$100 now is worth strictly more than $100 later, because now I can do a strict superset of what I can do with it later (namely, spend it on anything between now and then), as well as hold on to it and turn it into $100 later.

There could be Schellingesque reasons to wish to lack money during a certain time. For example, suppose you can have a debt forgiven iff you can prove that you have no money at a certain time; then you don't want to have money at that time, but you would still benefit from acquiring the money later.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 31 August 2010 04:24:38PM *  0 points [-]

Yes, time discounting isn't just about risk, so that was a bit silly of me. I would have an advantage in chess if I could make all my moves before you made any of yours.