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Baughn comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 3 - Less Wrong
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Eliezer is already way over 1 book length (265k words, more than even Order of the Phoenix), I don't see him finishing the story short of at least 600k words, probably considerably more.
I feel like the story is more than halfway done already, although I'd be pleasantly surprised to be wrong.