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Stuart_Armstrong comments on Less Wrong: Open Thread, September 2010 - Less Wrong
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You have to also be able to deduce how much of the other agent's information is shared with you. If you and them got your posteriors by reading the same blogs and watching the same TV shows, then this is very different from the case when you reached the same conclusion from completely different channels.
Somewhere in there is a joke about the consequences of a sedentary lifestyle.