(And I think it would be more accurate to say that it's strong evidence, just outweighed by stronger existing evidence in this case.)
This is where you commit the fundamental attribution error.
My surprise was with how rare EY found it to meet someone who could follow that explanation -- let alone need the explanation. A surprise that, it turns out, is shared by the very person correcting my foolish error.
I don't actually think this has been written about much here, but there is a tendency among high-IQ folks to underestimate how rare their abilities are. The way they do this is not by underestimating their own cognitive skills, but instead by overestimating those of most people.
In other words, what it feels like to be a genius is not that you're really smart, but rather that everyone else is really dumb.
I would expect that both you and Will would see the light on this if you spent some more time probing the thought processes of people of "normal" intelligence in detail, e.g. by teaching them mathematics (in a setting where they were obliged to seriously attempt to learn it, such as a college course; and where you were an authority figure, such as the instructor of such a course).
Can we agree that the comparison EY just made isn't accurate?
Probably not literally, in light of your clarification. However, I nevertheless suspect that your responses in this thread do tend to indicate that you would probably not be particularly suited to being (for example) EY's apprentice -- because I suspect there's a certain...docility that someone in that position would need, which you don't seem to possess. Of course that's a matter of temperament more than intelligence.
This is where you commit the fundamental attribution error.
I'm missing something here, I guess. What fraction of people who, as a matter of routine, speak of "complexity" as a viable problem-attack method, and are also very intelligent? If it's small, then it's appropriate to say, as I suggested, that it's strong evidence, even as it might be outweighed by something else in this case. Either way, I'm just not seeing how I'm, per the FEA, failing to account for some special situational justification for what Marcello did.
...I would expect tha
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