timtyler comments on Anthropomorphic AI and Sandboxed Virtual Universes - Less Wrong
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You seriously can't see that one coming?
I'd bet its 5 years away perhaps? But it only illustrates my point - because by some measures computers are already more powerful than the brain, which makes its wiring all the more impressive.
That seems optimistic to me. A few recent computer strength graphs:
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=Zen19
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=HcBot
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=Manyfaces1
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=Zen
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=CzechBot
http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=AyaMC