jimrandomh comments on Bayes' rule =/= Bayesian inference - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (70)
Except that they're actually using different evidence, because the intuitive feelings that go into a prior are, in fact, evidence. More specifically, the prior is the sum of the outputs of all the heuristics that aren't quite strong or reliable enough to reach conscious awareness, but which nevertheless do, and ought to, influence the probability judgment.