Will_Newsome comments on Compartmentalization in epistemic and instrumental rationality - Less Wrong

77 Post author: AnnaSalamon 17 September 2010 07:02AM

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Comment author: pjeby 17 September 2010 06:05:21PM *  6 points [-]

The key is simple: the downsides from de-compartmentalization stem from allowing a putative fact to overwrite other knowledge (e.g., letting one’s religious beliefs overwrite knowledge about how to successfully reason in biology, or letting a simplified ev. psych overwrite one's experiences of what dating behaviors work). So, the solution is to be really damn careful not to let new claims overwrite old data.

This is leaving out the danger that realistic assessments of your ability can be hazardous to your ability to actually perform. People who over-estimate their ability accomplish more than people who realistically estimate it, and Richard Wiseman's luck research shows that believing you're lucky will actually make it so.

I think instrumental rationalists should perhaps follow a modified Tarski litany, "If I live in a universe where believing X gets me Y, and I wish Y, then I wish to believe X". ;-)

Actually, more precisely: "If I live in a universe where anticipating X gets me Y, and I wish Y, then I wish to anticipate X, even if X will not really occur". I can far/symbolically "believe" that life is meaningless and I could be killed at any moment, but if I want to function in life, I'd darn well better not be emotionally anticipating that my life is meaningless now or that I'm actually about to be killed by random chance.

(Edit to add a practical example: a golfer envisions and attempts to anticipate every shot as if it were going to be a hole-in-one, even though most of them will not be... but in the process, achieves a better result than if s/he anticipated performing an average shot. Here, X is the perfect shot, and Y is the improved shot resulting from the visualization. The compartmentalization that must occur for this to work is that the "far" mind must not be allowed to break the golfer's concentration by pointing out that the envisioned shot is a lie, and that one should therefore not be feeling the associated feelings.)

Comment author: Will_Newsome 18 September 2010 11:27:11AM 0 points [-]

(I did similarly with the Litany of Gendlin in my post):

If believing something that is false gets me utility,
I desire to believe in that falsity;
If believing something that is true gets me utility,
I desire to believe in that truth;
Let me not become attached to states of belief that do not get me utility.

Comment author: jimrandomh 18 September 2010 01:04:01PM *  3 points [-]

I wrote a slightly less general version of the Litany of Gendlin on similar lines, based on the one specific case I know of where believing something can produce utility:

If I can X,
then I desire to believe I can X
If believing that I can not X would make it such that I could not X,
and it is plausible that I can X,
and there are no dire consequences for failure if I X,
then I desire to believe I can X.
It is plausible that I can X.
There are no dire consequences for failure if I X.

The last two lines may be truncated off for some values of X, but usually shouldn't be.