wedrifid comments on Rational Health Optimization - Less Wrong

20 Post author: jacob_cannell 18 September 2010 07:47PM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 19 September 2010 07:04:34AM 1 point [-]

There is a hope that medical technology, accelerated via a Singularity, will advance to the point where we have full mastery over biology and can economically repair organ and cellular damage faster than aging accumulates it. There is sufficient evidence to put a reasonable bet on that happening by mid-century.

Downvoted for Kurzweilian faith and weasely wording of prediction.

Comment author: wedrifid 19 September 2010 09:02:41AM 1 point [-]

Is the ' probable, mid-century' part what you are dismissing as Kurzweilian faith? If so, I'm in agreement. (Along much the same lines as we discussed with respect to HP:MoR.)

Comment author: jacob_cannell 19 September 2010 07:49:23PM *  4 points [-]

Umm I actually I didn't use the word 'probable' - I said "reasonable bet". Do you think this justifies the term "Kurzweilian faith and weasely wording"?

In terms of expected benefits, even with low odds the Singularity can be a good bet that one should take into consideration in any future projections. I think it is irrational not to consider it.

Belief that a Singularity is extremely unlikely this century is just another belief in a set of future scenarios that one could assign the adjective 'faith' to.

Comment author: wedrifid 19 September 2010 10:57:15PM 5 points [-]

Full agreement and retraction!