Kutta comments on Rational Health Optimization - Less Wrong

20 Post author: jacob_cannell 18 September 2010 07:47PM

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Comment author: Kutta 19 September 2010 03:04:13PM *  2 points [-]

It is not Kurzweil, it is rather Aubrey De Grey's pretty good execution of a "weak inside view" analysis. Longevity escape velocity, as he calls it. I have my own minor complaint about the "accelerated via the a Singularity" part, which is markedly not part of De Grey's analysis (assuming that the OP really wrote the above paragraph with De Grey in mind and not someone else).

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 19 September 2010 03:38:17PM 1 point [-]

I have my own minor complaint about the "accelerated via the a Singularity" part

That.

Comment author: jacob_cannell 19 September 2010 07:53:31PM *  3 points [-]

Ahh I can see why you might take objection to that - Singularity can be a vague term. Nonetheless, it does describe a range of future scenarios which I do believe there is sufficient evidence to warrant as quite possible, without considering specifics - it's actually good in this case to use a term that wraps a diverse set of related futures together.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 19 September 2010 09:29:10PM *  0 points [-]

I wouldn't have used it, because the term "singularity" makes me think of a sign saying "STOP: No humans beyond this point."

Comment author: jacob_cannell 19 September 2010 07:56:51PM 1 point [-]

Yes I was hinting at longevity escape velocity, which doesn't depend on a Singularity per se, but a Singularity - meaning a vast increase in effective intelligence and computation - undoubtedly has a high probability of achieving longevity escape velocity, amongst other things.

I happen to believe the odds of achieving that escape velocity anytime soon without a vast increase in effective intelligence and computation are very low.