jimrandomh comments on Rational Health Optimization - Less Wrong
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This is not true at all, and blindly worshipping the double-blind study like this will prevent you from learning anything. Dietary studies, with few exceptions, cannot be blind since people know what they're eating. But people can easily observe what effects diets have on them, as long as they're keeping the right quantitative data. Weight isn't the right variable to be tracking, since it can't distinguish fat from muscle, and many studies went astray that way. But tracking exercise reps, body fat percentage, energy levels and various interesting blood tests are all feasible, useful and actually done. A simple observational study plus an understanding of biochemistry is sufficient to justify a dietary preference, so long as certain known traps are avoided.
I won't mix claims about the goodness or badness of particular diets in here, but I'd like to say that the questions are answerable, and some diets are better than others in general. Individual biochemistries vary in ways that interact with possible diets, but those interactions can be understood, and many of them are understood, so it's wrong to point to individual differences as though they make diet inherently mysterious.
Is body fat percentage a good surrogate for health?
Obesity correlates with several chronic diseases, and so body fat percentage must as well. There are certain diseases where elevated risk is directly associated with fat specifically (I remember seeing something where heart disease is affected by abdominal fat in particular) so at least sometimes fat matters, and not just mass.
Note that it doesn't necessarily imply any kind of causality.
I think "health" is a nebulous concept anyway -- in my book, you are "healthy" if the physical state of your body allows you to do what you want to do.