wedrifid comments on Rationality Power Tools - Less Wrong

22 Post author: Nic_Smith 19 September 2010 06:20AM

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Comment author: gwern 29 September 2010 04:47:29PM 0 points [-]

So, what suggestions do we have for integrating PB? I've been making and linking clear predictions I see on LW, but apparently that's not enough.

I doubt making every LW account a valid PB account would do the job alone, although it's a good start.

Perhaps there could be a LW extension which shows a random prediction in the sidebar? Or even just the X most recent predictions, similar to OB and the LW wiki.

Comment author: wedrifid 29 September 2010 05:07:16PM 4 points [-]

Make it a prediction market and let us bet karma. :)

Comment author: Morendil 29 September 2010 06:24:13PM 1 point [-]

Please don't.

Comment author: gwern 29 September 2010 09:06:14PM 2 points [-]

Why not? Karma is a more concrete bragging point than a flatter-looking graph. If status-seeking will force people to calibrate...

Comment author: Morendil 29 September 2010 09:19:15PM *  2 points [-]

Same reasons I brought up here a few months ago when this last was mentioned.

Comment author: gwern 29 September 2010 09:58:45PM 2 points [-]

Hm, that looks like the Precautionary Principle to me...