gwern comments on Rationality Power Tools - Less Wrong

22 Post author: Nic_Smith 19 September 2010 06:20AM

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Comment author: gwern 09 October 2010 02:22:13AM 1 point [-]

Hm. I would like to be able to write about useful things to do with PB, but Matthew tells me I'm 1 of 4 (or less) regular users, so there aren't many people to write such posts.

Further, my main goals with PB is to become more calibrated in general - which is almost impossible to give good examples for by its very generality - and as a record of my predictions and politics for the future which I can examine to see how I got wrong (entirely aside from how much I was over/underconfidence) which I also can't give any good examples for within the next few years/decades.

So I don't really know what I could do with your suggestions. (I do have a little project involving >100 anime-related predictions, but I don't know how well that will work out.)