PhilGoetz comments on Error detection bias in research - Less Wrong

54 Post author: neq1 22 September 2010 03:00AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (36)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: RolfAndreassen 24 September 2010 06:55:41PM 2 points [-]

There is a true result of the run, stored in the variable resultForX. While I'm developing my code, I don't want to know that true value, because of the surprisingness bias as outlined in the post. I do however want to be able to compare results between test runs. Thus I add a random value, blindValueX, which I do not know; I only know the random seed that produces it. I never print the true result until I've finalised the code and done all my testing for systematic errors.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 27 September 2010 10:14:05PM 0 points [-]

Okay; I see. Is that a common practice? I'd never heard of it before.

Comment author: RolfAndreassen 28 September 2010 04:08:05PM 2 points [-]

It is, at any rate, quite common with particle physics, although not every analysis uses it. I can't speak to other fields.

Hmm. I wonder if this would make a top-level post, with some example plots and more in-depth description? Practical methods used in science for avoiding bias, 101.