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Wei_Dai comments on Politics as Charity - Less Wrong
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Why is this not a confusion? It seems on the face of it that since voters' decisions are correlated, your decision accounts for behavior of other people as well, and so you are not only casting one vote with your decision, but many votes simultaneously.
How does one go about computing E(total number of votes | I vote) - E(total number of votes | I don't vote)?
No idea, but "deciding vote" is not it.