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Jonathan_Graehl comments on The Irrationality Game - Less Wrong
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Ah, but betting for a proposition is equivalent to betting against its opposite. Why are you so certain that there's no better-than-placebo methods for causing significant fat loss?
But If you do change your mind, please don't change the original, as then everyone's comments would be irrelevant.
Absolutely right. This is an important point that many people miss. If you're uncertain about your estimated probability, or even merely risk averse, then you may want to take neither side of the implied bet. Fine, but at least figure out some odds where you feel like you should have an indifferent expectation.