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Yvain comments on The Irrationality Game - Less Wrong
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I upvoted you because 95% is way high, but I agree with you that it's non-negligible. There's way too much weirdness in some of the cases to be easily explainable by mass hysteria or hoaxes or any of that stuff - and I'm glad you pointed out Fatima, because that was the one that got me thinking, too.
That having been said, I don't know what they are. Best guess is easter eggs in the program that's simulating the universe.
Prior before having learned of Fatima, roughly? Best guess at current probability?
I don't think that's a very good guess, but it's as good as any I've seen. I tried to phrase my belief statement to include things like this within its umbrella.