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wedrifid comments on The Irrationality Game - Less Wrong
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I wouldn't have said the number of nines indicated overconfidence if you were talking about the sun rising. I do not believe you have enough evidence to reach that level of certainty on this subject. I would include multiple nines in my declaration of confidence in that claim.
You think there's a 999,999/100,000 chance the sun will rise tomorrow? I think you may be overconfident here...