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khafra comments on The Irrationality Game - Less Wrong
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I think that there are better-than-placebo methods for causing significant fat loss. (60%)
ETA: apparently I need to clarify.
It is way more likely than 60% that gastric bypass surgery, liposuction, starvation, and meth will cause fat loss. I am not talking about that. I am talking about healthy diet and exercise. Can most people who want to lose weight do that deliberately, through diet and exercise? I think it's likely but not certain.
Does "method" include "exercise and healthy eating"?
This post has generated so much more controversy than I expected.
I meant exactly exercise and healthy eating! I thought people would assume I meant that. Not gastric bypass surgery, not liposuction, not starvation, not amputating limbs.
Whenever I see someone with one of those badges that says; 'Lose weight now, ask me how!", I check that they have all their limbs.
That's ok. Just put an ETA in the top-level comment to clarify that. There's a lot of wiggle room around "healthy eating" though. Where are you drawing the line between calorie restriction and starvation?