DanielLC comments on The Irrationality Game - Less Wrong
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A Singleton AI is not a stable equilibrium and therefore it is highly unlikely that a Singleton AI will dominate our future light cone (90%).
Superhuman intelligence will not give an AI an insurmountable advantage over collective humanity (75%).
Intelligent entities with values radically different to humans will be much more likely to engage in trade and mutual compromise than to engage in violence and aggression directed at humans (60%).
I agree with your second. Was your third supposed to be high or low? I think it's low, but not unreasonably so.
I expected the third to be higher than most less wrongers would estimate.