Huh.

When you put it that way, it seems plausible.

In fact... you're right, and I'm wrong.

If there's a highly salient fact in play that Bahry neither knows nor can reasonably be expected to consider, which is certainly a strong possibility, then Bahry's beliefs about the situation stop being credible evidence about much of anything, and I should not be treating them that way.

I'm falling into the trap of assuming that everybody else already knows what I know.

I hereby repudiate my earlier speculations.

Thank you.