komponisto comments on Draft: Reasons to Use Informal Probabilities - Less Wrong

9 Post author: jimrandomh 11 October 2010 10:50PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (13)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: komponisto 13 October 2010 03:16:21AM 1 point [-]

This post should review the arguments in When (Not) To Use Probabilities.

The lesson of that post is basically "don't let yourself be deceived into thinking your calibration is better than it is". But if you're poorly calibrated, better to know this, and giving explicit probability estimates may help you find this out.

Hiding your judgements doesn't make them better.