magfrump comments on Swords and Armor: A Game Theory Thought Experiment - Less Wrong
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I'd play green/yellow; it seems like it would do well among the top choices, plus I like weapons that attack fast.
I began working out the 16x16 matrix but then I realized I could just read the thread and somebody would have already worked it out. Machrider's simulations seem like the most convincing since they're the only ones that account for multiple rounds of selection.