Perplexed comments on Swords and Armor: A Game Theory Thought Experiment - Less Wrong
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Comments (68)
I think you will discover that many people here believe that if anyone or anything can "factor in the whimsical nature of freedom of choice", then computer calculations can do it too.
The dispute is mostly about whether or not to assume that the other players are rational. In the absence of good empirical evidence about the other players, I think you have to assume they are rational. My rationale? Well, if you don't assume they are rational, exactly what do you assume?
Perhaps the best way to justify the assumption of rationality, though, is to imagine that you are the acknowledged guru on this particular game. And you are offering advice on your blog (which everybody who plays the game reads) regarding choice of sword and armor. So what advice do you give? You had better advise your fans to choose their swords and armor using the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium. Because if you advise anything else, all your fans are going to be pwned.
"Ok", you say. "If I imagine that, then I see what is good about Nash equilibria. But, why are you asking me to imagine stuff?"
Unfortunately, I don't have a good answer to that question.