gwern comments on Human performance, psychometry, and baseball statistics - Less Wrong

24 Post author: Craig_Heldreth 15 October 2010 01:13PM

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Comment author: gwern 02 December 2010 09:06:06PM 1 point [-]

I'd like to amend my comment; I've read further in the Cambridge Handbook and found this quote:

"Recent research has suggested a qualification on this rule of thumb. For instance, Hoffman, Coffey, and Ford (2000) found that even junior journeymen weather forecasters (individuals in their early 30s) can have had as much as 25,000 hours of experience. A similar figure seems appropriate for the domain of intelligence analysis (Hoffman, 2003a)."