Eugine_Nier comments on Ranking the "competition" based on optimization power - Less Wrong

-1 Post author: blogospheroid 17 October 2010 04:55PM

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Comment author: Eugine_Nier 18 October 2010 04:13:38AM 1 point [-]

Kindly list some other hedge funds which might have some high optimization power.

D. E. Shaw is one that I can think of off the top of my head, but there are many others.

Also, what do you mean by optimization power? How likely they are to build a fooming AGI? How much power they currently or potentially have? Something else?

Comment author: blogospheroid 18 October 2010 05:06:31AM *  0 points [-]

Digesting the points from Vladimir's comment, I would say that optimization power would have the following as criteria.

  • Present Power and potential power
  • Coherence in goals
  • Sustainability - whether they look like a one trick pony or there is something genuinely fascinating going on inside.
  • Creativity - a track record of surprising solutions/impressive outcomes. for eg. for the chinese politburo, I would put high speed trains in tibet as a very noteworthy outcome.