...Huh. That page is by Eliezer Yudkowsky, and apparently it was written back in June 2009. It seems that writing something up on the wiki is a very poor way to get it discussed.
The argument given seems to make sense, but with two noteworthy caveats. The first is that, while group selection doesn't work, kin selection does, and in an organism that mostly interacts with close relatives, altruism only towards relatives may not be meaningfully distinct from altruism towards all others of its species. The second issue is that group selection can interact with the founder effect, which is where a very small group enters a new environment and founds a colony that turns into a large population. In that case, altruistic genes in the original founders affect the probability that the colony succeeds; so if an environment is particularly hard to colonize, and many attempts are made, it may be that only a group with some altruistic genes could succeed.
I am no biologist so I may be confused at some point here, but isn't the point of this discussion article that research has demonstrated group selection in colonies of insects?
Is there some strong sense in which queen bees/ants constitute "founders" or make entire colonies "kin"? Or is there still conflict between the paper nhamann cites and the wiki?
I originally titled this post "The Less Wrong wiki is wrong about group selection", because it seemed wildly overconfident about its assertion that group selection is nonsense. The wiki entry on "group selection" currently reads:
However, it appears that the real problem is not that the wiki is overconfident (that's a problem, but it's only a symptom of the next problem) but that the traditional dogma on the viability of group selection is wrong, or at least overconfident. I make this assertion after stumbling across a paper by Martin Nowak, Corina Tarnita, and E. O. Wilson titled "The evolution of eusociality", which appeared in Nature in August of this year. I found a PDF of this paper through Google scholar, click here. A blog entry discussing the paper can be found here (bias alert: it is written by a postdoc working in Martin Nowak's Evolutionary Dynamics program at Harvard).
Here's some quotes (bolding is mine):
...
Check out the paper for more details. Also look at the Supplementary Information if you have access to it. They perform an evolutionary game theoretic analysis, which I am still reading.
Apparently this theory is not that new. In this 2007 paper by David Sloan Wilson and E. O. Wilson, they argue (I'm just pasting the abstract):
From the other camp, this seems to be a fairly highly-cited paper from 2008. They concluded:
I know (as of yet) very little biology, so I leave the conclusion for readers to discuss. Does anyone have detailed knowledge of the issues here?