XiXiDu comments on Dealing with the high quantity of scientific error in medicine - Less Wrong

36 Post author: NancyLebovitz 25 October 2010 01:53PM

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Comment author: XiXiDu 25 October 2010 02:50:49PM *  3 points [-]

Hans-Peter Beck-Bornholdt and Hans-Hermann Dubben are writing books and papers on this problem (most medical research is wrong, see "Is the pope an alien?" Nature 381: 730, 1996) for decades. I've even got a popular science book on probability by them. Sadly most stuff is only available in German.

Comment author: XiXiDu 25 October 2010 03:07:40PM 0 points [-]

It is a shame that Bayesian methods are not part of all introductory statistics classes. In this case, Bayesian methods quickly reassure us that the Pope is (probably) not an alien.

http://www.inference.phy.cam.ac.uk/mackay/pope.html

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