Rain comments on Pathological utilitometer thought experiment - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Rain 26 October 2010 03:13PM

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Comment author: Eugine_Nier 26 October 2010 03:42:12PM 3 points [-]

I suspect you're suffering from availability bias. Specifically, thinking about the utilitometer has caused you to subjectively overestimate how likely you are to succeed.

Comment author: Rain 26 October 2010 03:51:04PM *  1 point [-]

Obviously I believe I have no chance of success with the toy as described. But the slightest increase in predictive power seems to have a great deal of benefit. The marginal utility of increases in utility prediction seems quite high to me. Does it not seem that way to others?

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 26 October 2010 03:58:37PM 4 points [-]

The marginal utility of increases in utility prediction seems quite high to me.

Yes, well that's sort of the point of this site.

Comment author: Rain 26 October 2010 05:17:58PM 2 points [-]

So how did everyone else avoid the pathological effect of that taking up more of their thought patterns than 'actual' utility? Or maybe they didn't.

Comment author: Kingreaper 26 October 2010 05:56:50PM 1 point [-]

Anyone spending time on here clearly believes that improving their ability to predict things is worthwhile.

Either that or they just think this place is kinda fun. Or both.

Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 26 October 2010 09:58:44PM *  0 points [-]

It's not necessarily pathological to devote more resources to investment than consumption for the time being. (LW may not be the best form of investment.)