sixes_and_sevens comments on Making your explicit reasoning trustworthy - Less Wrong
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Then, could you describe your idea in more detail?
I got the sense that the question is asking you to look for beliefs you predict will change for the worse. So, you can't predict which direction your beliefs will change in, but if you have an inkling that one will go in the direction of "false", then that is some sort of warning sign:
In any case, your motivated cognition has let you believe the belief, but motivated cognition doesn't feel precisely like exhaustive double-checking, and a question like this tries to find that feeling.
This was sort of what I was aiming for. Evidence saying you're going to change your mind about something should be the same as evidence for changing your mind about something.