pnrjulius comments on Making your explicit reasoning trustworthy - Less Wrong
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Steven Landsburg used this reasoning, combined with the fact that Christians don't generally do this, to conclude not that Christians don't act on their beliefs, but that Christians don't generally believe what they claim to believe. I think the different conclusion is reached because he assigns a lot more rationality to people than you do. But certainly there are, for some people, very strong incentives against admitting that you've stopped believing in God.
What does it mean, actually, to "believe" something? If it implies that you integrate it into your worldview and act accordingly, then these people clearly don't "believe" in that sense. But this may be an altogether too strong notion of what it is to "believe" something, since most people have things they'd say they "believe" that aren't applied in this way.