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ArisKatsaris comments on What I would like the SIAI to publish - Less Wrong
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If you calculate a .1% chance of killing every human alive if you start it right now, but also a .2% chance of saving the whole of humanity, that's morally equivalent to a 100% chance of saving the lives of 6.5 million people -- in which case you're guilty of the Holocaust if you do NOT start it.
"Shut up and multiply" works both ways.
This doesn't hold if some extra work could improve those odds.
(IMO, the sense of moral urgency created by things like Holocaust analogies almost always does more harm than good.)