wedrifid comments on The Curve of Capability - Less Wrong

18 Post author: rwallace 04 November 2010 08:22PM

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Comment author: NihilCredo 04 November 2010 09:32:38PM *  14 points [-]

it is a general rule that each doubling tends to bring about the same increase in capability.

This rule smells awfully like a product of positive/confirmation bias to me.

Did you pre-select a wide range of various endeavours and projects and afterwards analysed their rate of progress, thus isolating this common pattern;

or did you notice a similarity between a couple of diminishing-returns phaenomena, and then kept coming up with more examples?

My guess is strongly on the latter.

Comment author: wedrifid 04 November 2010 09:46:28PM 1 point [-]

This rule smells awfully like a product of positive/confirmation bias to me.

Yet somehow the post is managing to hover in the single figure positives!