steven0461 comments on The Curve of Capability - Less Wrong

18 Post author: rwallace 04 November 2010 08:22PM

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Comment author: steven0461 05 November 2010 07:49:08PM *  5 points [-]

I agree that pushing something farther and farther into the future is a potential warning sign.

But only a potential warning sign -- fusion power is always 25 years away, but so is the decay of a Promethium-145 atom.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 05 November 2010 09:00:59PM 3 points [-]

But only a potential warning sign -- fusion power is always 25 years away, but so is the decay of a Promethium-145 atom.

Right, but we expect that for the promethium atom. If physicists had predicted that a certain radioactive sample would decay in a fixed time, and they kept pushing up the time for when it would happen, and didn't alter their hypotheses at all, I'd be very worried about the state of physics.