Perplexed comments on A note on the description complexity of physical theories - Less Wrong
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Comments (177)
Well, I guess I am taking "observable consequences" to be something closely related to P(E|H)/P(E). And I am taking "the truth of a statement" to have something to do with P(H|E) adjusted for any bias that might have been present in the prior P(H).
I'm afraid this explanation is all the citation I can offer. I would be happy to hear your opinion along the lines of "That ain't 'truth'. 'Truth' is <something else> to a Bayesian"
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If we're going to distinguish 'truth' from our 'observations' then we need to be able to define 'reality' as something other than 'experience generator' (or else decouple truth and reality).
Personally, I suspect that we really need to think of reality as something other than an experience generator. What we can extract out of reality is only half of the story. The other half is the stuff we put in so as to create reality.
This is not a fully worked out philosophical position, but I do have some slogans:
(That last slogan probably needs some work. Maybe I'll try something involving causes and effects.)