Vladimir_Nesov comments on If a tree falls on Sleeping Beauty... - Less Wrong

83 Post author: ata 12 November 2010 01:14AM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 12 November 2010 04:29:40PM *  7 points [-]

We have an apparently ambiguous word: "probability". That we accept it's ambiguous (the thesis of this post), means that there are situations where either of its multiple possibly contradictory meanings is intended. This doesn't negate a possibility of there being a concept that can be applied to most situations, doesn't itself suffer from ambiguity, and is usually referred to using the same word.

There is no apparent contradiction here: the disagreement you point out results from equivocating between the ambiguous word "probability" and (presumably) the more specific concept of probability that Jaynes refers to.