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b1shop comments on [Draft] Holy Bayesian Multiverse, Batman! - Less Wrong
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If you make the case that p(S) should include any life, then I can concede the adverb perhaps shouldn't be so dramatic. Are we in agreement that it would be dramatic if we only included humanity exactly like us? If so, I'd like a second opinion from others if a specific anthropic principle is allowed, because it seems reasonable to me.
Yes, because there are times in the history of humanity where we got close to being wiped out (the Toba event being possibly the best documented).
I'd be very curious if anyone else agrees with you there. I don't understand the basis for such a specific reference class, since every intelligent species that thinks about MWI will be in the same position.