Perplexed comments on Rationality is Not an Attractive Tribe - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Alexandros 23 November 2010 02:08PM

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Comment author: Perplexed 24 November 2010 02:45:03PM 2 points [-]

I'm not sure I understand this. Could you clarify? Are you saying that a true Bayesian doesn't think there is a distinction? That a wise Bayesian will be neither kind of atheist?

Comment author: Jack 24 November 2010 04:17:19PM *  2 points [-]

So Bayesian epistemology doesn't actually make use of the word 'belief', instead we just assign probabilities to hypotheses. You don't believe or not believe, you just estimate p. So the distinction isn't really intelligible. I guess one could interpret weak atheist as implying a higher probability of God's existence than a strong atheist... but it doesn't obviously translate that way and isn't something a Bayesian would say.

Comment author: Perplexed 24 November 2010 04:55:40PM 2 points [-]

Got it. Thx.

I suppose someone could claim that a strong atheist actually sets P(God) = 0. Whereas a weak atheist sets P(God) = some small epsilon. But then a Bayesian shouldn't become a strong atheist.

Comment author: komponisto 24 November 2010 03:22:11PM 0 points [-]

See here.

Comment author: Perplexed 24 November 2010 03:41:01PM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure I understand this. Could you clarify?

I'm not looking to start an argument here. I don't need to hear reasons. I just want to know what Jack meant when he responded to "Perhaps I should clarify ..." with "Not if you are going to endorse Bayes."