nshepperd comments on Inherited Improbabilities: Transferring the Burden of Proof - Less Wrong

30 Post author: komponisto 24 November 2010 03:40AM

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Comment author: nshepperd 17 December 2010 12:50:53AM 1 point [-]

Yes.

P(Guilt|A) = P(A|Guilt) only when P(A) = P(Guilt). In which case it would be 100% proof. But that is a rare situation.

Comment author: Psy-Kosh 17 December 2010 12:59:18AM 1 point [-]

Nitpick: the two conditionals also be equal if A and Guilt were mutually exclusive. (in that case, of course, the two conditionals would be both zero)