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shokwave comments on Buy Insurance -- Bet Against Yourself - Less Wrong
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I'll admit I can't make much sense of what you're saying, but
this is already in the post - you care about a winning bet because it saved you from hard times, you don't care about a losing bet because you profit in other ways from this outcome.
I didn't disagree with the post, nor suggest the post was lacking. I pointed out that the concluding exhortation misses the mark.
It absolutely does. I sacrificed some precision for clarity so that I could end with a ringing exhortation. When I have a moment I'll probably footnote this.
Honestly, part of me is still a little confused about what I'm supposed to do at the ends of essays other than stop talking when I've said all the stuff I have to say.
ETA: On further reflection, the exhortation is almost right. The target you want to optimize for is "outcome in which money is worth more" but "outcome I'd really hate" is a cheaper target to compute -- it's emotionally salient, and can be quickly processed, probably in parallel -- while still being a decent pointer to the true target -- you can use a deliberative, serial process afterwards to pick the outcomes you actually should bet on.
Exactly!