MBlume comments on Buy Insurance -- Bet Against Yourself - Less Wrong

29 Post author: MBlume 26 November 2010 04:48AM

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Comment author: MBlume 01 December 2010 12:20:44AM *  0 points [-]

I pointed out that the concluding exhortation misses the mark.

It absolutely does. I sacrificed some precision for clarity so that I could end with a ringing exhortation. When I have a moment I'll probably footnote this.

Honestly, part of me is still a little confused about what I'm supposed to do at the ends of essays other than stop talking when I've said all the stuff I have to say.

ETA: On further reflection, the exhortation is almost right. The target you want to optimize for is "outcome in which money is worth more" but "outcome I'd really hate" is a cheaper target to compute -- it's emotionally salient, and can be quickly processed, probably in parallel -- while still being a decent pointer to the true target -- you can use a deliberative, serial process afterwards to pick the outcomes you actually should bet on.

Comment author: wedrifid 01 December 2010 04:04:27AM 0 points [-]

The target you want to optimize for is "outcome in which money is worth more" but "outcome I'd really hate" is a cheaper target to compute -- it's emotionally salient, and can be quickly processed, probably in parallel -- while still being a decent pointer to the true target -- you can use a deliberative, serial process afterwards to pick the outcomes you actually should bet on.

Exactly!