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Nornagest comments on Belief in Belief vs. Internalization - Less Wrong
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The post was inspired by a comment which I felt confused lack of internalization with belief in belief. On reflection, I probably didn't establish the connection sufficiently.
Yeah, that clarifies some things. Reading over the OP, I note with some embarrassment that you never used the phrase "belief in belief" in the body text -- but I also note that Mass_Driver didn't, either.
"Understanding Your Understanding" does a pretty good job of illustrating the levels of belief, but now I'm starting to think that it might be a good idea to look at the same scale from the perspective of expected error types, not just the warning signs the article already includes.