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RichardKennaway comments on Gender Identity and Rationality - Less Wrong
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The original posting had troll written all over it, and OneSTDV talks about posting that quote as a troll. CaveJohnson's views on other issues, as far as they are apparent from his brief presence here so far, are consonant with those of OneSTDV. That evidence is enough for me.
Another detail I didn't notice before is that OneSTDV posted about posting it as a troll on the very same day that CaveJohnson posted it here.
Clearly OneSTDV was trying to encourage people to troll in that post. I don't see how much this differs from the "reader of the blog" hypothesis. Unless there are stylistic similarities in the way they write. As to opinions, reading through CaveJohnsons comments I agree with about 7/8ths, but you are right that there is a marked focus on HBD related issues in his posting history. The name he picked and a few of the earlier comments indicated he may have started out as a role-playing account.
If I had to bet I would say he is a DL of a LWer used for stating politically incorrect or dangerous opinions (ala Quirrell) who reads OneSTDV.
Edit: Googling the blog It seems OneSTDV thinks the drug war is eugenic while CaveJohnson wishes to relax drug laws.